Posted on 22 February 2010
Below is a table that compares my 2009 Projected Passing, Rushing, and Total Touchdowns per team to the Actual Touchdowns scored. As you can see, some were hits and some were misses.
In the end, you can see clearly that I expected more rushing and fewer passing scores. However, the total touchdowns turned out pretty good:
Projected Total TDs: 1,147
Actual Total TDs: 1,139
|
2009 Projection |
2009 Actual |
Margin of Error |
| Team |
Pass TD |
Rush TD |
Total TD |
Pass TD |
Rush TD |
Total TD |
Pass TD |
Rush TD |
Total TD |
| Arizona |
29 |
13 |
42 |
27 |
16 |
43 |
2 |
-3 |
-1 |
| Atlanta |
21 |
19 |
40 |
26 |
15 |
41 |
-5 |
4 |
-1 |
| Baltimore |
16 |
16 |
32 |
21 |
22 |
43 |
-5 |
-6 |
-11 |
| Buffalo |
17 |
12 |
29 |
17 |
6 |
23 |
0 |
6 |
6 |
| Carolina |
16 |
23 |
39 |
16 |
18 |
34 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
| Chicago |
21 |
12 |
33 |
27 |
6 |
33 |
-6 |
6 |
0 |
| Cincinnati |
23 |
10 |
33 |
21 |
9 |
30 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
| Cleveland |
15 |
11 |
26 |
11 |
10 |
21 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
| Dallas |
27 |
13 |
40 |
26 |
14 |
40 |
1 |
-1 |
0 |
| Denver |
22 |
16 |
38 |
21 |
9 |
30 |
1 |
7 |
8 |
| Detroit |
19 |
13 |
32 |
16 |
9 |
25 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
| Green Bay |
29 |
14 |
43 |
30 |
20 |
50 |
-1 |
-6 |
-7 |
| Houston |
21 |
14 |
35 |
29 |
13 |
42 |
-8 |
1 |
-7 |
| Indianapolis |
31 |
13 |
44 |
34 |
16 |
50 |
-3 |
-3 |
-6 |
| Jacksonville |
19 |
17 |
36 |
15 |
19 |
34 |
4 |
-2 |
2 |
| Kansas City |
20 |
11 |
31 |
18 |
8 |
26 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
| Miami |
18 |
16 |
34 |
15 |
22 |
37 |
3 |
-6 |
-3 |
| Minnesota |
19 |
18 |
37 |
34 |
19 |
53 |
-15 |
-1 |
-16 |
| New England |
31 |
15 |
46 |
28 |
19 |
47 |
3 |
-4 |
-1 |
| New Orleans |
30 |
14 |
44 |
34 |
21 |
55 |
-4 |
-7 |
-11 |
| New York Giants |
20 |
20 |
40 |
28 |
14 |
42 |
-8 |
6 |
-2 |
| New York Jets |
17 |
19 |
36 |
12 |
21 |
33 |
5 |
-2 |
3 |
| Oakland |
16 |
12 |
28 |
10 |
7 |
17 |
6 |
5 |
11 |
| Philadelphia |
24 |
15 |
39 |
27 |
14 |
41 |
-3 |
1 |
-2 |
| Pittsburgh |
21 |
13 |
34 |
28 |
10 |
38 |
-7 |
3 |
-4 |
| San Diego |
25 |
16 |
41 |
29 |
17 |
46 |
-4 |
-1 |
-5 |
| San Francisco |
22 |
12 |
34 |
23 |
12 |
35 |
-1 |
0 |
-1 |
| Seattle |
25 |
10 |
35 |
20 |
7 |
27 |
5 |
3 |
8 |
| St Louis |
18 |
12 |
30 |
12 |
4 |
16 |
6 |
8 |
14 |
| Tampa Bay |
17 |
15 |
32 |
18 |
5 |
23 |
-1 |
10 |
9 |
| Tennessee |
14 |
22 |
36 |
16 |
19 |
35 |
-2 |
3 |
1 |
| Washington |
16 |
12 |
28 |
21 |
8 |
29 |
-5 |
4 |
-1 |
| TOTAL |
679 |
468 |
1147 |
710 |
429 |
1139 |
-31 |
39 |
8 |
Related posts:
- Touchdowns/Touches Analysis
This post was written by:
Mike Clay - who has written 149 posts on Fantasy Depth Chart.
Mike resides in Fleetwood, PA where he lives with his fiancee, Mandie, and two Yorkies, Sir Wiggles and Princess. He is employed as an Accountant at W.E. Yoder, Inc. (Railroad Construction, Engineering, & Design) and is originally from Pottsville, where he attended Nativity BVM High School from 1999 to 2003. He later graduated with a degree in Accounting from Kutztown University in 2007.
During his tenure at Kutztown University, Mike spent three years as the Sports Editor for The Keystone, the University’s official newspaper. He began broadcasting KU basketball, softball, and baseball in 2005 before retiring in 2009 to focus on this website. In addition, Mike is the creator and sole contributor of Kutztown University Vital Sports, which offers analysis of the aforementioned KU athletic program. Mike also spent some time as a writer for Major League Baseball website RBIMagazine.com. Over the last few years, Mike has contributed various articles to the Pottsville Republican and Charleston Gazette. In the summer of 2008, fellow-ex-RBI Magazine writer Dave Kulich joined Mike for a Kutztown University Radio show called “Sports Talk with Mike and Dave”. The show returned for a second season in May of 2009. Currently, Mike hosts the FantasyDC Blitz with Bryan Fontaine from www.RookieBlitz.com . The show airs every Thursday at 7 pm EST on the Fantasy Sports Channel (www.fsc.fm).
Mike is a huge sports fan and his favorite teams include the Philadelphia Eagles, Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia 76ers, Philadelphia Flyers, Colorado Avalanche, Miami Hurricanes, and Marshall Thundering Herd. His favorite athletes include Mark Martin, Joe Montana, Chad Pennington, Aaron Rodgers, JerMichael Finley, Andruw Jones, Lou Williams, Claude Giroux, and Rico Fata. In a given year, you are sure to find Mike at a few Eagles/Steelers games, a handful of local major league baseball games, and at least 5 NASCAR races. When not at the games, Mike enjoys them from his recliner, where he can put to use his 50” Plasma HD-TV with full surround sound. Mike is also an avid fantasy sports manager and runs competitive leagues in several sports, most notably baseball, nascar, and football.
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I read about it some days ago in another blog and the main things that you mention here are very similar