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2009 Touchdowns: Projected vs. Actual

Posted on 22 February 2010

Below is a table that compares my 2009 Projected Passing, Rushing, and Total Touchdowns per team to the Actual Touchdowns scored. As you can see, some were hits and some were misses.

In the end, you can see clearly that I expected more rushing and fewer passing scores. However, the total touchdowns turned out pretty good:

Projected Total TDs: 1,147

Actual Total TDs: 1,139

2009 Projection 2009 Actual Margin of Error
Team Pass TD Rush TD Total TD Pass TD Rush TD Total TD Pass TD Rush TD Total TD
Arizona 29 13 42 27 16 43 2 -3 -1
Atlanta 21 19 40 26 15 41 -5 4 -1
Baltimore 16 16 32 21 22 43 -5 -6 -11
Buffalo 17 12 29 17 6 23 0 6 6
Carolina 16 23 39 16 18 34 0 5 5
Chicago 21 12 33 27 6 33 -6 6 0
Cincinnati 23 10 33 21 9 30 2 1 3
Cleveland 15 11 26 11 10 21 4 1 5
Dallas 27 13 40 26 14 40 1 -1 0
Denver 22 16 38 21 9 30 1 7 8
Detroit 19 13 32 16 9 25 3 4 7
Green Bay 29 14 43 30 20 50 -1 -6 -7
Houston 21 14 35 29 13 42 -8 1 -7
Indianapolis 31 13 44 34 16 50 -3 -3 -6
Jacksonville 19 17 36 15 19 34 4 -2 2
Kansas City 20 11 31 18 8 26 2 3 5
Miami 18 16 34 15 22 37 3 -6 -3
Minnesota 19 18 37 34 19 53 -15 -1 -16
New England 31 15 46 28 19 47 3 -4 -1
New Orleans 30 14 44 34 21 55 -4 -7 -11
New York Giants 20 20 40 28 14 42 -8 6 -2
New York Jets 17 19 36 12 21 33 5 -2 3
Oakland 16 12 28 10 7 17 6 5 11
Philadelphia 24 15 39 27 14 41 -3 1 -2
Pittsburgh 21 13 34 28 10 38 -7 3 -4
San Diego 25 16 41 29 17 46 -4 -1 -5
San Francisco 22 12 34 23 12 35 -1 0 -1
Seattle 25 10 35 20 7 27 5 3 8
St Louis 18 12 30 12 4 16 6 8 14
Tampa Bay 17 15 32 18 5 23 -1 10 9
Tennessee 14 22 36 16 19 35 -2 3 1
Washington 16 12 28 21 8 29 -5 4 -1
TOTAL 679 468 1147 710 429 1139 -31 39 8

Related posts:

  1. Touchdowns/Touches Analysis

This post was written by:

Mike Clay - who has written 149 posts on Fantasy Depth Chart.

Mike resides in Fleetwood, PA where he lives with his fiancee, Mandie, and two Yorkies, Sir Wiggles and Princess. He is employed as an Accountant at W.E. Yoder, Inc. (Railroad Construction, Engineering, & Design) and is originally from Pottsville, where he attended Nativity BVM High School from 1999 to 2003. He later graduated with a degree in Accounting from Kutztown University in 2007. During his tenure at Kutztown University, Mike spent three years as the Sports Editor for The Keystone, the University’s official newspaper. He began broadcasting KU basketball, softball, and baseball in 2005 before retiring in 2009 to focus on this website. In addition, Mike is the creator and sole contributor of Kutztown University Vital Sports, which offers analysis of the aforementioned KU athletic program. Mike also spent some time as a writer for Major League Baseball website RBIMagazine.com. Over the last few years, Mike has contributed various articles to the Pottsville Republican and Charleston Gazette. In the summer of 2008, fellow-ex-RBI Magazine writer Dave Kulich joined Mike for a Kutztown University Radio show called “Sports Talk with Mike and Dave”. The show returned for a second season in May of 2009. Currently, Mike hosts the FantasyDC Blitz with Bryan Fontaine from www.RookieBlitz.com . The show airs every Thursday at 7 pm EST on the Fantasy Sports Channel (www.fsc.fm). Mike is a huge sports fan and his favorite teams include the Philadelphia Eagles, Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia 76ers, Philadelphia Flyers, Colorado Avalanche, Miami Hurricanes, and Marshall Thundering Herd. His favorite athletes include Mark Martin, Joe Montana, Chad Pennington, Aaron Rodgers, JerMichael Finley, Andruw Jones, Lou Williams, Claude Giroux, and Rico Fata. In a given year, you are sure to find Mike at a few Eagles/Steelers games, a handful of local major league baseball games, and at least 5 NASCAR races. When not at the games, Mike enjoys them from his recliner, where he can put to use his 50” Plasma HD-TV with full surround sound. Mike is also an avid fantasy sports manager and runs competitive leagues in several sports, most notably baseball, nascar, and football.

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2 Responses to “2009 Touchdowns: Projected vs. Actual”

  1. mrvenom says:

    I read about it some days ago in another blog and the main things that you mention here are very similar


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